Author Topic: Thinking in Bets - Annie Duke  (Read 12731 times)

DanielGMask

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Re: Thinking in Bets - Annie Duke
« Reply #20 on: July 10, 2019, 06:12:39 AM »
Wasn't a huge fan.  Having read a lot on decision making lately (particularly Tetlock, and some stuff on Shannon/Thorp/Kelly), I didn't feel like it had that much new in it.

That said, as an introduction, it would probably cover a lot of ground in a very accessible manner, and it was also entertaining.

there seems to be this sort of trend lately in many books. repeat what others have said in more defining game changing works somehow do a lot of podcast interviews and publicity type things. drive book sales

The main idea is a powerful one: To review your ideas and commitment process more often than you do.

"Wanna bet" is her way of saying that when you are stating a point or thinking about something you should be as sure as to bet on your word.
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Liberty

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Re: Thinking in Bets - Annie Duke
« Reply #21 on: July 10, 2019, 11:50:39 AM »
I really like some of the rephrasing that she offers as a way to sharpen thinking and/or get better information.

For example, instead of asking people "are you sure?", asking "how sure are you?"
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merkhet

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Re: Thinking in Bets - Annie Duke
« Reply #22 on: July 10, 2019, 01:47:52 PM »
Loved hearing her on a podcast recently. Great idea to put numbers on things to discriminate between what one person thinks "probably" means and what another person thinks "probably" means. Will "probably" (:P) pick up the book soon.