gilder is a great mind. This not to say he is always right, but I didn't say he had god's mind.
Indeed. For example I disagree with him about his thoughts that AI will not displace jobs. I mean he could be right in the sense that I'm an AI skeptic. (Was, then wasn't, now I am again).
But automation is another thing entirely, and what we call "AI" today is really just expert systems. Those will displace jobs, lots of them.
If you read any of the work by Charles Hugh Smith (oftwominds.com) he does a good job showing how the numbers of jobs displaced by big tech are being replaced by a much smaller number of jobs. I guess one would call that productivity gains.
I really do worry that there will be no jobs in the future, or rather, my joke for it is "in the future there will be one occupation: managing one's wealth. And most of us are gonna be unemployed".
Gilder doesn't share this vision, and I'd prefer it if he were right about this and I'm wrong.