Author Topic: How long will you live?  (Read 10532 times)

rukawa

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #30 on: July 08, 2018, 08:41:51 PM »
The calculator is interesting.

Life expectancy of 99
75% change of living to 90
25% chance I'll live to 105

That is a long time...

Try never married and see what the life expectancy goes to. Its amazing the difference marriage makes.


Alekbaylee

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #31 on: July 24, 2018, 11:15:10 AM »
Just thought I would re-post the original link that predicts participant's expected lifespan since some may have missed it

http://gosset.wharton.upenn.edu/mortality/perl/CalcForm.html?utm_medium=Newsletter&utm_source=Personal%20Finance%20Reader&utm_type=text&utm_content=PersonalFinanceReader&utm_campaign=123555881


I think the following tool is more comprehensive, hence more reliable and/or predictable: http://archive.projectbiglife.ca/

LC

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #32 on: July 25, 2018, 05:06:30 PM »
According to that I will live to 83. Better start saving
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Liberty

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #33 on: October 11, 2018, 10:21:25 AM »
1-hour podcast interview with biogerontologist Aubrey de Grey, mostly about biomedical research into aging:

http://mindandmachine.libsyn.com/life-extension-human-longevity-with-dr-aubrey-dr-grey
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SharperDingaan

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #34 on: October 11, 2018, 01:16:27 PM »
I'm pushing to become the actuarial abnormality
SD

John Hjorth

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #35 on: October 11, 2018, 01:50:53 PM »
I'm pushing to become the actuarial abnormality
SD

That's the correct spirit. It's all about mindset. Even Mr. Munger sometimes stumbles when it's about this:

"All I want to know is where I'm going to die, and I just won't go there"? - What does that imply, if your dearest wish is to pass away between the legs of the Lady of the House?
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meiroy

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #36 on: October 11, 2018, 07:01:44 PM »
I hate to be pessimistic but you guys that think you may live to see 150 or 200 are really, really optimistic.

How optimistic people are depends on how old they are right now. I'm 32, and I think that the chances that medical science advances a lot over the next 50 years is very high.

What people miss is that to benefit, we don't have to go from zero to a perfect therapy for the diseases of aging. We just have to do enough to allow you to live long enough for these therapies to be improved enough in the meantime so that by the time you would need them, there are developped.

I like your explanation, it's somewhat like the situation with self-driving cars.  There's a lot of discussion on how when cars will be truly autonomous and ubiquitous, fatalities numbers would drop dramatically.  As it happens, right now, there's already technology using AI and other means installed in various cars which significantly increases safety.  It gets better year by year.


OK now write on the singularity.

DooDiligence

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Re: How long will you live?
« Reply #37 on: October 12, 2018, 05:20:35 AM »
I hate to be pessimistic but you guys that think you may live to see 150 or 200 are really, really optimistic.

How optimistic people are depends on how old they are right now. I'm 32, and I think that the chances that medical science advances a lot over the next 50 years is very high.

What people miss is that to benefit, we don't have to go from zero to a perfect therapy for the diseases of aging. We just have to do enough to allow you to live long enough for these therapies to be improved enough in the meantime so that by the time you would need them, there are developped.

I like your explanation, it's somewhat like the situation with self-driving cars.  There's a lot of discussion on how when cars will be truly autonomous and ubiquitous, fatalities numbers would drop dramatically.  As it happens, right now, there's already technology using AI and other means installed in various cars which significantly increases safety.  It gets better year by year.


OK now write on the singularity.

https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/mohammed-bin-salman-gold-rush-singularity-180522101213108.html
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