Author Topic: What are you buying today?  (Read 1354008 times)

TwoCitiesCapital

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3940 on: July 10, 2019, 05:24:54 PM »
Rolled some of my fixed income exposure in the form of ZROZ into Annaly stock.

Kind of figured it's basically the same thing - leveraged returns on rates. That being said, Annaly should prove more sensitive to changes at the front-end if cuts come to fruition given their use of short-term funding/leverage.


Lance

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3941 on: July 11, 2019, 11:10:55 AM »
Mike - you bet.  Sold 8/16/19 $15 NWL puts.   

Thanks
Lance

spartansaver

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3942 on: July 11, 2019, 11:57:28 AM »
SQBG - Very tiny position. Priced like it's going bankrupt. Sold off two significant brands for $166mn ($40mn earn out potential as well - ~12x EBITDA or ~3.9x sales). Remaining business priced at ~6x EBITDA and 3.6x sales. Brands that are remaining seem on par with brands sold (EBITDA is higher on remaining brands partly due to way sold brands were structured). SQBG still has room left on covenants. Seems like a decent probability option. Debt is termed out till about 2024.
« Last Edit: July 11, 2019, 12:00:03 PM by spartansaver »

wisowis

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3943 on: July 12, 2019, 12:43:14 PM »
Itís been almost a year since the below post and Iím still waiting for Uranium to get moving.

I bought some NXE, CCO, and EFR.DB today.

This second half of this podcast by Mike Alkin who is a former hedge fund manager and now runs a Uranium dedicated fund sums up the bull case quite well.

http://themikealkinshow.curzioresearch.libsynpro.com/stop-looking-at-your-stock-screens-for-great-ideas-do-this-instead-ep-60


I bought some EFR.DB-TSX yesterday.

Itís a pretty interesting piece of paper to have access to a potential Uranium bull market while getting paid to wait. Maturity is Dec 2020, strike is C$4.15. Implied vol of the outstanding warrants is over 60% while the debs trade at par.

The debt issue is also a small part of the capital structure and I donít think they will have a problem raising money but of course I think the debs could be a multibagger.

So from what I can tell, the interest rate on the debs varies between 8.5-13.5%, depending on the (weekly) spot market price of uranium oxide. Management doesn't expect the price to exceed 54.99 by 2020, the price above which the interest rate increases (and price is currently at 22.75$, from Google).

Any reason to be optimistic about a bull market in uranium?

Yes, I think so. The current Uranium spot price is too low for anyone to make money. Most producers locked into long term contract pricing much higher than spot which are expiring over the next few years. In response, Cameco and other large producers have decided to cut production and use existing inventory and buy in the spot market to fulfill production in order to preserve their resource for higher prices. Utilities will have to negotiate contract pricing soon and it will likely come in well above current prices. Itís a classical deep cyclical play that is complicated by an opaque market, two tiered pricing and extremely long lead times.

I bought more yesterday with the stock surging higher and a holder of the debentures being forced to sell for what I can only assume are liquidity reasons.

EFR down 36% and EFR.DB down 9% on rumours that Trump will reject the Section 232 petition. Yikes.

Gregmal

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3944 on: July 15, 2019, 04:56:01 PM »
Slowly wading back into MSB now that the small distribution announcement is out of the way. Such an easy seasonal trade.

york

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3945 on: July 15, 2019, 06:56:36 PM »
TFI International Inc
TSX:TFII

Ahab

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3946 on: July 16, 2019, 03:02:43 PM »
Upped my GOOG position by 50%.
Long: FNMAT, FNMAN, FMCKO, BAC, JPM, GOOG
Short: PCG, TSLA
Twitter: AhabValue

gokou3

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3947 on: July 16, 2019, 03:45:23 PM »
WFC

Spekulatius

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3948 on: July 16, 2019, 05:22:11 PM »
To be a realist, one has to believe in miracles.

Saluki

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Re: What are you buying today?
« Reply #3949 on: July 17, 2019, 08:19:27 AM »
PBF, I only bought a little when it came down last time and regretted it, now I am sizing up as I sell other things off.  And I just started a position in IPI (I liked the water rights part of this business but now that Potash prices have gone from the low $200s a ton to the low $300s  a ton, the mining side should be profitable too and the shotgun will be firing with both barrels).
If it's important, do it every day. If it's not important, don't do it at all.  -Dan Gable