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gfp

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gfp last won the day on March 3

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  1. In case anybody hasn't read "Trillion Dollar Triage" and has an interest in the history of Fed independence from the White House, this article is basically a big excerpt from the first part of the book - https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/a-brief-history-of-the-feds-uneasy-peace-with-the-white-house-608dee30?mod=hp_lead_pos4
  2. It depends on the subsidiary and how the bulkheads are constructed. I believe a subsidiary of BHE, like Pacificorp for instance, can be put into bankruptcy without the other assets of BHE being risked, much less the parent company holding company. But I'm sure there are exceptions for nefarious asset stripping or fraud. I mean, look at JNJ and the Talc stuff - you don't see all of JNJ at risk.
  3. Warren always said there are certain businesses where you aren't well served by having a "rich parent." He never contemplated being a helmet manufacturer, was one of his examples if I remember correctly. I think his mindset from the insurance industry has served him well over the years in considering as many risks in his other businesses as he can - which is why he gets a little crabby when he misses some.
  4. gfp

    Tidbits

    "In the future" can be an awfully long way away. I wouldn't base your investment decisions on an article citing birth rates and trends. The United States is uniquely positioned as being a very desirable (and apparently easy to sneak into LOL) destination for young, productive (and fertile), immigrants. Many other countries have much more serious demographic problems.
  5. gfp

    Tidbits

    The founder managed to sell a few decent sized blocks at high prices. One of them to a "private fund" which sounded to me like a fund covering a short position. Predictably, they filed a preliminary prospectus to issue a ton of shares if they can get it going in time. Today's volume is high so maybe they got some shares sold? https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1843974/000157587224000368/es106_n2.htm https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1843974/000157587224000367/xslF345X05/ownership.xml
  6. HomeServices has settled their antitrust suit - https://www.wsj.com/business/telecom/warren-buffetts-real-estate-firm-settles-antitrust-matter-for-250-million-e77e87d8 " Dusseault said HomeServices faced potential bankruptcy if it didn’t settle. To even appeal the verdict it likely would have needed to post a bond, which a judge could have set in the billions of dollars. If Berkshire had instead stepped in to bail out its subsidiary, it would have set a precedent that could make other companies under its umbrella an appealing target for litigation. "
  7. I expected a higher GDP print (and I'm always bearish LOL). I think rail traffic is actually fairly normal if you ignore Coal volumes. I don't think coal volumes are a big economic red flag personally. There is some shifting back towards the western railroads again I would imagine. I would expect BNSF to print a decent intermodal number. Auto shipments are high. Petroleum products and chemicals are high. Looks healthy to me as far as rail traffic goes.
  8. https://nlpc.org/corporate-integrity-project/video-nlpc-returns-to-berkshire-hathaway-annual-meeting-one-year-after-chairmans-arrest/ Oh joy... This guy is coming to rant about Bill Gates and Epstein again.
  9. Thanks - these transcripts are getting pretty good. How do they get a name like Gobinath's perfectly transcribed? Must not be AI?
  10. Go short because IFRS is confusing?
  11. Jaygo I notice you always spell "debt" with a "p" - is that a keyboard thing or a country of origin thing or what? Just curious since it has been consistent.
  12. I am certainly not an expert in any of this but I have heard the idea is to have over 100 different things (drones, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles) arriving around the same time at vastly different speeds, altitudes and directions - hoping to confuse the various air defense systems. With so much preparation I assume close to all of them will be shot down but odds are a couple will get through.
  13. Bitcoin was probably the only market that was open. If you feel like reducing risk and raising cash, you go with the markets that are currently open. Bitcoin is always open.
  14. gfp

    Tidbits

    I saw the founder / promoter / whatever you call him sold $4.5m worth at $30/sh. I assume he has sold more since if allowed to. I am unclear if they can issue new shares at a premium to NAV any time soon. I covered my short with all the Levine attention but it’s been an entertaining and profitable distraction. I even held a short overnight one night
  15. Warren told the story either at an annual meeting or in an interview. Nike was the example but he had Lou liquidate his entire portfolio before he left.
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