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Author Topic: Fairfax return over the next 10 years  (Read 10392 times)

Partner24

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2019, 07:15:30 AM »
We're 10 years later now and it's  time to use your calculator! ;-)

Cheers!
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petec

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2019, 08:32:13 AM »
Sadly I don't need to use a calculator ;)
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tooskinneejs

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2019, 09:15:16 AM »
7.9%?  So nobody guessed correctly?
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Jurgis

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2019, 11:14:12 AM »
Sad.
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"Before you can be rich, you must be poor." - Nef Anyo
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"American History X", "Milk", "The Insider", "Dirty Money", "LBJ"

Partner24

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2019, 01:50:45 PM »
Sad indeed. Lesson learned about how we can sometimes be over-optimistic about value investors. And how FFH team was too scared about macro stuff for too long.
« Last Edit: June 10, 2019, 01:53:23 PM by Partner24 »
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investmd

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #15 on: June 11, 2019, 08:03:22 PM »
Interesting. Thanks for following up on this Partner24. Wisdom of the crowd was wrong in 2009. If the same poll was conducted today, probably everyone would say either <10% or 11-15%. Wonder if we would all the wrong again....hopefully.
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petec

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2019, 04:59:07 AM »
Quote from: investmd on June 11, 2019, 08:03:22 PM
Interesting. Thanks for following up on this Partner24. Wisdom of the crowd was wrong in 2009. If the same poll was conducted today, probably everyone would say either <10% or 11-15%. Wonder if we would all the wrong again....hopefully.

Ha - exactly.
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Jurgis

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #17 on: June 12, 2019, 08:25:57 AM »
Feel free to start a new 10 year return poll and we can see the results in 10 years.

I would be willing to bet real money that Fairfax return will be below 15% annual for next 10 years.
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"Before you can be rich, you must be poor." - Nef Anyo
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"American History X", "Milk", "The Insider", "Dirty Money", "LBJ"

jfan

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #18 on: June 12, 2019, 09:41:01 AM »
Quote from: Jurgis on June 12, 2019, 08:25:57 AM
Feel free to start a new 10 year return poll and we can see the results in 10 years.

I would be willing to bet real money that Fairfax return will be below 15% annual for next 10 years.

What are the odds you are offering?
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Partner24

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Re: Fairfax return over the next 10 years
« Reply #19 on: June 12, 2019, 10:07:57 AM »
Regarding FFH, I do not keep myself informed about it anymore, so I will not start a new poll. But feel free to do so.

Cheers! 
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