I believe the midterms were a net positive for the GSEs. If (big if) legislative path is on the table (I think this remains very low probability, many hurdles to overcome), Maxine Waters and more importantly PAT TOOMEY are important allies. More probable, I believe midterms were positive because it puts congress in a gridlock and gives admin the green light and cover to go ahead and administratively execute a recap release more swiftly than if it was an all GOP congress.
The market seems to agree today.
agreed. and while nothing will happen on 11/16, something will happen on 1/6/19...watt's term will end. trump likely will not want to see him continue in an acting capacity, and so will likely appoint someone who has already gotten senate confirmation...perhaps mulvaney or even Mnuchin, while someone below director will be appointed to do actual work and eventually secure senate confirmation.